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Consensus Weather Forecasting 6 Weathermen in one - Averaged.
6 independent models, averaged ยท Updated 14 October 2026
Partly cloudy
28°
Partly cloudy

Tomorrow Weather Krugersdorp

Mixed agreement. The models are split. The shape of the day is clearer than the exact number.

Mixed spread 4.2°C (26° to 30°) low 15°C rain 0.3 mm

Warm with partly cloudy.

48%model confidence
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Where the models agree, and where they do not

ICONGerman weather serviceECMWFEuropean centreGFSUS national weather serviceAROMEMeteo-FranceUKMOUK Met OfficeGEMCanadian model
21°26°31°Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 Oct

Each coloured line is one independent forecast model. The white line is their average, weighted so that the models which have actually been accurate here count for more and with each model's excess bias already removed, which is why it does not sit exactly in the middle of the band. The grey band is the disagreement between them: a narrow band means the forecast is trustworthy, a wide one means the shape will hold but the numbers will not. Average spread across the 9 days: 4.0°C.

-sunrise
-sunset
-sunshine
9UV index
25°feels like
16%rain chance
46gusts km/h
22wind km/h

9 day weather forecast for Krugersdorp

Thursday
15 October
Partly cloudy
28°
Partly cloudy · low 15°
Mixed · spread 4.2°C · 6 models
rain 0.3 mm
Warm with partly cloudy.
Friday
16 October
Partly cloudy
30°
Partly cloudy · low 17°
Mixed · spread 3.8°C · 6 models
rain 0.2 mm
Warm with partly cloudy.
Saturday
17 October
Light rain
30°
Light rain · low 17°
Mixed · spread 4.3°C · 6 models
rain 0.3 mm
Warm with light rain; a little rain is possible.
Sunday
18 October
Partly cloudy
31°
Partly cloudy · low 17°
Good · spread 2.5°C · 5 models
rain 0.1 mm
Warm with partly cloudy.
Monday
19 October
Overcast
29°
Overcast · low 15°
Low · spread 6.1°C · 5 models
rain 0.1 mm
Warm with overcast.
Tuesday
20 October
Light rain
26°
Light rain · low 11°
Low · spread 6.9°C · 5 models
rain 0.2 mm
Warm with light rain.
Wednesday
21 October
Partly cloudy
29°
Partly cloudy · low 12°
Good · spread 1.9°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with partly cloudy.
Thursday
22 October
Clear sky
32°
Clear sky · low 16°
Good · spread 1.7°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with clear sky.
Friday
23 October
Light rain
31°
Light rain · low 14°
Mixed · spread 4.5°C · 3 models
rain 0.3 mm
Warm with light rain.

Which model is actually best here

ModelSourceMean errorErrorBias
ECMWF European centre 0.72°C -0.14°C
ICON German weather service 0.73°C -0.10°C
GEM Canadian model 0.77°C +0.45°C
UKMO UK Met Office 0.84°C -0.39°C
GFS US national weather service 0.89°C -0.04°C
AROME Meteo-France 0.89°C +0.81°C

Population 438,217 on the municipal figures. Station distance: 22 km. Scored against 174 days of real hourly observations at Lanseria, comparing each model's forecast of the daily maximum with what the airport actually measured. The models are queried at the station's own coordinates for this comparison, not the city centre, so the score describes the same piece of ground the measurements came from. Mean error is the average size of the mistake; bias shows whether the model runs warm or cold. Best here is ECMWF at 0.72°C. The headline average is weighted by these errors, so a model that has been wrong by three degrees here carries a fraction of the vote of one that has been wrong by half a degree. Rainfall is a plain mean, because one dry model should not be allowed to cancel a wet one. No model has run more than a degree off at this station over the scored period, so no bias correction is applied here. Mogale City. No model is far enough behind to be dropped at this station, so all six count towards the average.

Weather near Krugersdorp