Tomorrow Weather logo: a smiling sun in sunglasses shaking hands with a crescent moon in striped pyjamas Tomorrow Weather
Consensus Weather Forecasting 6 Weathermen in one - Averaged.
6 independent models, averaged · Updated 14 October 2026
Partly cloudy
33°
Partly cloudy

Tomorrow Weather Madibeng

Mixed agreement. The models are split. The shape of the day is clearer than the exact number.

Mixed spread 3.2°C (31° to 34°) low 18°C rain 0.1 mm
HotHot, 30°C

Hot with partly cloudy.

60%model confidence
Ad SEONINJAS Local businesses in Madibeng Local SEO for local businesses that gets your phone ringing Google Business Profile management, website Google rankings and visibility, PPC ads and website design, from R2,500 a month. See the pricing Ad SEOCLICKSPRO Website and SEO specials, with PPC management Grown locally and farmed out internationally, but we still love our roots. See the specials Ad space Reach people in Madibeng Your restaurant, hotel, guest house or workshop here People check tomorrow's weather before deciding where to go, and this card is in front of readers in Madibeng every day. One slot, one advertiser. Book this slot

Where the models agree, and where they do not

ICONGerman weather serviceECMWFEuropean centreGFSUS national weather serviceAROMEMeteo-FranceUKMOUK Met OfficeGEMCanadian model
25°30°35°Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 Oct

Each coloured line is one independent forecast model. The white line is their average, weighted so that the models which have actually been accurate here count for more and with each model's excess bias already removed, which is why it does not sit exactly in the middle of the band. The grey band is the disagreement between them: a narrow band means the forecast is trustworthy, a wide one means the shape will hold but the numbers will not. Average spread across the 9 days: 3.5°C.

-sunrise
-sunset
-sunshine
9UV index
31°feels like
8%rain chance
38gusts km/h
24wind km/h

9 day weather forecast for Madibeng

Thursday
15 October
Partly cloudy
33°
Partly cloudy · low 18°
Mixed · spread 3.2°C · 6 models
rain 0.1 mm
Hot with partly cloudy.
Friday
16 October
Partly cloudy
34°
Partly cloudy · low 20°
Mixed · spread 2.8°C · 6 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with partly cloudy.
Saturday
17 October
Partly cloudy
35°
Partly cloudy · low 20°
Mixed · spread 3.9°C · 6 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with partly cloudy.
Sunday
18 October
Partly cloudy
35°
Partly cloudy · low 19°
Good · spread 1.8°C · 5 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with partly cloudy.
Monday
19 October
Partly cloudy
34°
Partly cloudy · low 18°
Low · spread 5.9°C · 5 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with partly cloudy, gusting to 40 km/h.
Tuesday
20 October
Clear sky
31°
Clear sky · low 14°
Low · spread 6.3°C · 5 models
rain 0.1 mm
Warm with clear sky, gusting to 40 km/h.
Wednesday
21 October
Partly cloudy
34°
Partly cloudy · low 14°
Good · spread 1.2°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with partly cloudy.
Thursday
22 October
Clear sky
36°
Clear sky · low 18°
Good · spread 2.3°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Hot with clear sky.
Friday
23 October
Partly cloudy
35°
Partly cloudy · low 16°
Mixed · spread 4.2°C · 3 models
rain 0.1 mm
Hot with partly cloudy, gusting to 37 km/h.

Which model is actually best here

ModelSourceMean errorErrorBias
AROME Meteo-France 0.70°C +0.09°C
GEM Canadian model 0.77°C +0.10°C
ICON German weather service 0.79°C +0.04°C
ECMWF European centre 1.07°C -0.81°C
GFS US national weather service 1.17°C -0.60°C
UKMO UK Met Office 1.18°C -0.79°C

Population 522,566 on the municipal figures. Station distance: 44 km. Scored against 164 days of real hourly observations at Wonderboom, comparing each model's forecast of the daily maximum with what the airport actually measured. The models are queried at the station's own coordinates for this comparison, not the city centre, so the score describes the same piece of ground the measurements came from. Mean error is the average size of the mistake; bias shows whether the model runs warm or cold. Best here is AROME at 0.70°C. The headline average is weighted by these errors, so a model that has been wrong by three degrees here carries a fraction of the vote of one that has been wrong by half a degree. Rainfall is a plain mean, because one dry model should not be allowed to cancel a wet one. No model has run more than a degree off at this station over the scored period, so no bias correction is applied here. The Brits and Hartbeespoort municipality. Scored against Wonderboom in Pretoria. No model is far enough behind to be dropped at this station, so all six count towards the average.

Weather near Madibeng