Tomorrow Weather logo: a smiling sun in sunglasses shaking hands with a crescent moon in striped pyjamas Tomorrow Weather
Consensus Weather Forecasting 6 Weathermen in one - Averaged.
6 independent models, averaged · Updated 14 October 2026
Clear sky
30°
Clear sky

Tomorrow's Weather Bloemfontein

Mixed agreement. The models are split. The shape of the day is clearer than the exact number.

Mixed spread 3.3°C (28° to 31°) low 14°C rain 0.0 mm
HotHot, 30°C

Warm with clear sky.

59%model confidence
Ad SEONINJAS Local businesses in Bloemfontein Local SEO for local businesses that gets your phone ringing Google Business Profile management, website Google rankings and visibility, PPC ads and website design, from R2,500 a month. See the pricing Ad SEOCLICKSPRO Website and SEO specials, with PPC management Grown locally and farmed out internationally, but we still love our roots. See the specials Ad space Reach people in Bloemfontein Your restaurant, hotel, guest house or workshop here People check tomorrow's weather before deciding where to go, and this card is in front of readers in Bloemfontein every day. One slot, one advertiser. Book this slot

Where the models agree, and where they do not

ICONGerman weather serviceECMWFEuropean centreGFSUS national weather serviceAROMEMeteo-FranceUKMOUK Met OfficeGEMCanadian model
16°21°26°31°36°Thu15 OctFri16 OctSat17 OctSun18 OctMon19 OctTue20 OctWed21 OctThu22 OctFri23 Oct

Each coloured line is one independent forecast model. The white line is their average, weighted so that the models which have actually been accurate here count for more and with each model's excess bias already removed, which is why it does not sit exactly in the middle of the band. The grey band is the disagreement between them: a narrow band means the forecast is trustworthy, a wide one means the shape will hold but the numbers will not. Average spread across the 9 days: 4.6°C.

-sunrise
-sunset
-sunshine
9UV index
27°feels like
24%rain chance
49gusts km/h
29wind km/h

9 day weather forecast for Bloemfontein

Thursday
15 October
Clear sky
30°
Clear sky · low 14°
Mixed · spread 3.3°C · 6 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with clear sky.
Friday
16 October
Clear sky
32°
Clear sky · low 15°
Mixed · spread 4.5°C · 6 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with clear sky.
Saturday
17 October
Light rain
33°
Light rain · low 16°
Mixed · spread 3.9°C · 6 models
rain 0.5 mm
Hot with light rain; a little rain is possible.
Sunday
18 October
Partly cloudy
31°
Partly cloudy · low 17°
Low · spread 5.9°C · 5 models
rain 0.9 mm
Warm with partly cloudy, gusting to 49 km/h; a little rain is possible.
Monday
19 October
Overcast
21°
Overcast · low 10°
Low · spread 6.5°C · 5 models
rain 1.3 mm
Mild with overcast; a little rain is possible.
Tuesday
20 October
Partly cloudy
25°
Partly cloudy · low 7°
Low · spread 5.3°C · 5 models
rain 0.0 mm
Mild with partly cloudy.
Wednesday
21 October
Overcast
28°
Overcast · low 12°
Mixed · spread 4.7°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with overcast.
Thursday
22 October
Clear sky
28°
Clear sky · low 12°
Mixed · spread 3.1°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with clear sky, gusting to 39 km/h.
Friday
23 October
Clear sky
30°
Clear sky · low 11°
Mixed · spread 3.9°C · 3 models
rain 0.0 mm
Warm with clear sky.

Which model is actually best here

ModelSourceMean errorErrorBias
GEM Canadian model 0.67°C +0.09°C
ICON German weather service 0.85°C -0.43°C
ECMWF European centre 1.01°C -0.78°C
UKMO UK Met Office 1.03°C -0.72°C
AROME Meteo-France 1.08°C -0.59°C
GFS US national weather service 1.18°C -0.25°C

Population 811,431 on the municipal figures. Station distance: 14 km. Scored against 174 days of real hourly observations at Bloemfontein International, comparing each model's forecast of the daily maximum with what the airport actually measured. The models are queried at the station's own coordinates for this comparison, not the city centre, so the score describes the same piece of ground the measurements came from. Mean error is the average size of the mistake; bias shows whether the model runs warm or cold. Best here is GEM at 0.67°C. The headline average is weighted by these errors, so a model that has been wrong by three degrees here carries a fraction of the vote of one that has been wrong by half a degree. Rainfall is a plain mean, because one dry model should not be allowed to cancel a wet one. No model has run more than a degree off at this station over the scored period, so no bias correction is applied here. Mangaung metro. No model is far enough behind to be dropped at this station, so all six count towards the average.

Weather near Bloemfontein